Projection Qc125 pour le Parti conservateur du Canada

Projection du vote populaire par région

Projection de sièges par région

Projection nationale de sièges

Ordre des circonscriptions

(Les pourcentages indiqués représentent les probabilités de victores selon la projection du 18 août 2019.)

#1	48002 Battle River–Crowfoot	PCC solide	>99%
#2	48003 Bow River	PCC solide	>99%
#3	48029 Red Deer–Mountain View	PCC solide	>99%
#4	48022 Foothills	PCC solide	>99%
#5	48033 Sturgeon River–Parkland	PCC solide	>99%
#6	48025 Lakeland	PCC solide	>99%
#7	48024 Grande Prairie–Mackenzie	PCC solide	>99%
#8	48034 Yellowhead	PCC solide	>99%
#9	48008 Calgary Midnapore	PCC solide	>99%
#10	47013 Souris–Moose Mountain	PCC solide	>99%
#11	47002 Cypress Hills–Grasslands	PCC solide	>99%
#12	47001 Battlefords–Lloydminster	PCC solide	>99%
#13	48028 Peace River–Westlock	PCC solide	>99%
#14	48030 Red Deer–Lacombe	PCC solide	>99%
#15	47004 Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek	PCC solide	>99%
#16	48021 Edmonton–Wetaskiwin	PCC solide	>99%
#17	48032 Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan	PCC solide	>99%
#18	48007 Calgary Heritage	PCC solide	>99%
#19	48027 Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner	PCC solide	>99%
#20	48011 Calgary Shepard	PCC solide	>99%
#21	47014 Yorkton–Melville	PCC solide	>99%
#22	48001 Banff–Airdrie	PCC solide	>99%
#23	46007 Portage–Lisgar	PCC solide	>99%
#24	48009 Calgary Nose Hill	PCC solide	>99%
#25	48023 Fort McMurray–Cold Lake	PCC solide	>99%
#26	47006 Prince Albert	PCC solide	>99%
#27	48012 Calgary Signal Hill	PCC solide	>99%
#28	47005 Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan	PCC solide	>99%
#29	48026 Lethbridge	PCC solide	>99%
#30	48010 Calgary Rocky Ridge	PCC solide	>99%
#31	24010 Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis	PCC solide	>99%
#32	48016 Edmonton Manning	PCC solide	>99%
#33	47010 Saskatoon–Grasswood	PCC solide	>99%
#34	46004 Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa	PCC solide	>99%
#35	24045 Louis-Saint-Laurent	PCC solide	>99%
#36	46010 Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman	PCC solide	>99%
#37	47011 Saskatoon–University	PCC solide	>99%
#38	24042 Lévis–Lotbinière	PCC solide	>99%
#39	48018 Edmonton Riverbend	PCC solide	>99%
#40	59024 Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies	PCC solide	>99%
#41	24019 Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles	PCC solide	>99%
#42	24058 Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier	PCC solide	>99%
#43	48031 St. Albert–Edmonton	PCC solide	>99%
#44	47008 Regina–Qu'Appelle	PCC solide	>99%
#45	46001 Brandon–Souris	PCC solide	>99%
#46	46008 Provencher	PCC solide	>99%
#47	59001 Abbotsford	PCC solide	>99%
#48	24061 Richmond–Arthabaska	PCC solide	>99%
#49	48020 Edmonton-Ouest	PCC solide	>99%
#50	48006 Calgary Forest Lawn	PCC solide	>99%
#51	24047 Mégantic–L'Érable	PCC solide	>99%
#52	35048 Lambton–Kent–Middlesex	PCC solide	>99%
#53	35025 Elgin–Middlesex–London	PCC solide	>99%
#54	59020 North Okanagan–Shuswap	PCC solide	>99%
#55	47007 Regina–Lewvan	PCC solide	>99%
#56	46005 Elmwood–Transcona	PCC solide	>99%
#57	48005 Calgary Confederation	PCC solide	>99%
#58	59016 Langley–Aldergrove	PCC solide	>99%
#59	48014 Edmonton-Centre	PCC solide	>99%
#60	59006 Chilliwack–Hope	PCC probable	>99%
#61	35034 Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock	PCC probable	>99%
#62	35049 Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston	PCC probable	>99%
#63	35080 Oxford	PCC probable	>99%
#64	48017 Edmonton Mill Woods	PCC probable	>99%
#65	35113 Wellington–Halton Hills	PCC probable	>99%
#66	48015 Edmonton Griesbach	PCC probable	>99%
#67	48004 Calgary-Centre	PCC probable	>99%
#68	24020 Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d'Orléans-Charlevoix	PCC probable	>99%
#69	35023 Durham	PCC probable	>99%
#70	59004 Cariboo–Prince George	PCC probable	>99%
#71	24022 Chicoutimi–Le Fjord	PCC probable	>99%
#72	59013 Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo	PCC probable	>99%
#73	35068 Niagara-Ouest	PCC probable	>99%
#74	13008 Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest	PCC probable	>99%
#75	46006 Kildonan–St. Paul	PCC probable	>99%
#76	48013 Calgary Skyview	PCC probable	>99%
#77	47012 Saskatoon-Ouest	PCC probable	>99%
#78	13004 Fundy Royal	PCC probable	99%
#79	35013 Brantford–Brant	PCC probable	99%
#80	35086 Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke	PCC probable	99%
#81	35050 Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes	PCC probable	99%
#82	59015 Kootenay–Columbia	PCC probable	99%
#83	59005 Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola	PCC probable	98%
#84	13006 Miramichi–Grand Lake	PCC probable	98%
#85	35099 Simcoe–Grey	PCC probable	98%
#86	59025 Richmond-Centre	PCC probable	98%
#87	35014 Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound	PCC probable	98%
#88	35091 Sarnia–Lambton	PCC probable	98%
#89	35033 Haldimand–Norfolk	PCC probable	98%
#90	35102 Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry	PCC probable	97%
#91	47003 Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill	PCC probable	97%
#92	24035 Lac-Saint-Jean	PCC probable	97%
#93	13010 Tobique–Mactaquac	PCC probable	97%
#94	35022 Dufferin–Caledon	PCC probable	96%
#95	13009 Saint John–Rothesay	PCC probable	96%
#96	35083 Perth–Wellington	PCC probable	96%
#97	35040 Huron–Bruce	PCC probable	96%
#98	35004 Barrie–Innisfil	PCC probable	95%
#99	35088 Carleton	PCC probable	95%
#100	24051 Montmagny–L'Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup	PCC probable	95%
#101	35017 Chatham-Kent–Leamington	PCC probable	95%
#102	35030 Flamborough–Glanbrook	PCC probable	94%
#103	35104 Thornhill	PCC probable	94%
#104	35119 York–Simcoe	PCC probable	94%
#105	35100 Simcoe-Nord	PCC probable	93%
#106	35067 Niagara Falls	PCC probable	93%
#107	59017 Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon	PCC probable	92%
#108	35082 Parry Sound–Muskoka	PCC probable	91%
#109	59022 Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge	PCC probable	91%
#110	59030 Surrey-Sud–White Rock	PCC probable	91%
#111	46002 Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley	PCC enclin	90%
#112	59008 Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam	PCC enclin	89%
#113	35056 Markham–Unionville	PCC enclin	87%
#114	59029 Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest	PCC enclin	87%
#115	24008 Beauport–Limoilou	PCC enclin	86%
#116	59023 Port Moody–Coquitlam	PCC enclin	86%
#117	35046 Kitchener–Conestoga	PCC enclin	85%
#118	59014 Kelowna–Lake Country	PCC enclin	83%
#119	35039 Hastings–Lennox and Addington	PCC enclin	82%
#120	59031 Steveston–Richmond-Est	PCC enclin	80%
#121	24007 Beauce	PCC enclin	77%
#122	35071 Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud	PCC enclin	72%
#123	35057 Milton	PCC enclin	72%
#124	11003 Egmont	PCC enclin	72%
#125	35005 Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte	Pivot	69%
#126	35074 Oshawa	Pivot	67%
#127	59002 Burnaby-Nord–Seymour	Pivot	65%
#128	35016 Cambridge	Pivot	65%
#129	35118 York-Centre	Pivot	64%
#130	59007 Cloverdale–Langley City	Pivot	63%
#131	24025 Drummond	Pivot	61%
#132	46013 Winnipeg-Sud	Pivot	60%
#133	59009 Courtenay–Alberni	Pivot	59%
#134	35003 Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill	Pivot	59%
#135	35047 Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler	Pivot	58%
#136	24076 Trois-Rivières	Pivot	57%
#137	35065 Newmarket–Aurora	Pivot	56%
#138	12003 Cumberland–Colchester	Pivot	55%
#139	35114 Whitby	Pivot	55%
#140	35043 King–Vaughan	Pivot	54%
#141	35015 Burlington	Pivot	52%
#142	35087 Richmond Hill	Pivot	52%
#143	35111 Vaughan–Woodbridge	Pivot	51%
#144	24066 Saint-Hyacinthe–Acton	Pivot	51%
#145	35093 Scarborough–Agincourt	Pivot	51%
#146	35073 Oakville-Nord–Burlington	Pivot	50%
#147	35024 Eglinton–Lawrence	Pivot	48%
#148	35063 Mississauga–Streetsville	Pivot	48%
#149	47009 Regina–Wascana	Pivot	47%
#150	35084 Peterborough–Kawartha	Pivot	47%
#151	61001 Territoires du Nord-Ouest	Pivot	43%
#152	35041 Kanata–Carleton	Pivot	42%
#153	12002 Nova-Centre	Pivot	40%
#154	60001 Yukon	Pivot	40%
#155	59037 North Island–Powell River	Pivot	39%
#156	24044 Louis-Hébert	Pivot	38%
#157	12009 South Shore–St. Margarets	Pivot	35%
#158	59040 Vancouver-Sud	Pivot	34%
#159	62001 Nunavut	Pivot	34%
#160	35053 London-Ouest	Pivot	33%
#161	13003 Fredericton	Pivot	33%
#162	35061 Mississauga–Lakeshore	Pivot	32%
#163	59011 Delta	Pivot	31%
#164	46009 Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital	PLC enclin	29%
#165	10003 Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame	PLC enclin	29%
#166	24032 Jonquière	Pivot	27%
#167	59010 Cowichan–Malahat–Langford	Pivot	27%
#168	35089 St. Catharines	PLC enclin	26%
#169	35020 Don Valley-Nord	PLC enclin	24%
#170	24059 Québec	PLC enclin	24%
#171	46014 Winnipeg-Centre-Sud	PLC enclin	24%
#172	48019 Edmonton Strathcona	NPD enclin	22%
#173	35060 Mississauga–Erin Mills	PLC enclin	20%
#174	59012 Fleetwood–Port Kells	PLC enclin	19%
#175	35092 Sault Ste. Marie	PLC enclin	16%
#176	35064 Nepean	PLC enclin	16%
#177	59028 Skeena–Bulkley Valley	NPD enclin	15%
#178	35054 Markham–Stouffville	PLC enclin	15%
#179	35072 Oakville	PLC enclin	15%
#180	35085 Pickering–Uxbridge	PLC enclin	15%
#181	10004 Labrador	PLC enclin	14%
#182	35026 Essex	NPD enclin	13%
#183	13007 Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe	PLC enclin	13%
#184	35011 Brampton-Sud	PLC enclin	13%
#185	35006 Baie de Quinte	PLC enclin	12%
#186	35021 Don Valley-Ouest	PLC enclin	12%
#187	35094 Scarborough-Centre	PLC enclin	11%
#188	35027 Etobicoke-Centre	PLC enclin	11%
#189	35115 Willowdale	PLC enclin	11%
#190	35008 Brampton-Centre	PLC enclin	11%
#191	35042 Kenora	NPD enclin	11%
#192	35038 Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas	PLC enclin	11%
#193	11001 Cardigan	PLC enclin	10%
#194	35066 Niagara-Centre	PLC probable	9%
#195	35010 Brampton-Nord	PLC probable	9%
#196	35012 Brampton-Ouest	PLC probable	9%
#197	35031 Glengarry–Prescott–Russell	PLC probable	9%
#198	35055 Markham–Thornhill	PLC probable	9%
#199	35112 Waterloo	PLC probable	8%
#200	12011 Nova-Ouest	PLC probable	8%
#201	11004 Malpeque	PLC enclin	7%
#202	59038 Vancouver Kingsway	NPD probable	6%
#203	35045 Kitchener-Centre	PLC probable	6%
#204	11002 Charlottetown	PLC enclin	6%
#205	10001 Avalon	PLC probable	6%
#206	35001 Ajax	PLC probable	5%
#207	59019 New Westminster–Burnaby	NPD enclin	5%
#208	10005 Long Range Mountains	PLC probable	5%